Northern Europe
Rainfall and temperature odds for December–February, and what past El Niños did in the same season, for all 15 countries and territories.
| Country | Rainfall, December–February | Drier / normal / wetter | Past El Niños | Temperature |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denmark | Likely wetter | 22% / 25% / 53% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Estonia | Leaning wetter | 16% / 37% / 47% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Faeroe Islands | Leaning drier | 45% / 26% / 29% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Finland | Leaning wetter | 20% / 35% / 45% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Guernsey | Likely wetter | 8% / 27% / 65% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Iceland | Likely drier | 57% / 31% / 12% |
No clear pattern | Leaning warmer |
| Ireland | No clear signal | 22% / 43% / 35% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Isle of Man | Leaning wetter | 10% / 45% / 45% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Jersey | Likely wetter | 8% / 27% / 65% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Latvia | Likely wetter | 24% / 21% / 55% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Lithuania | Likely wetter | 22% / 21% / 57% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Norway | No clear signal | 35% / 38% / 27% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Sweden | Likely wetter | 29% / 12% / 59% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| United Kingdom | No clear signal | 18% / 43% / 39% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Åland Islands | Likely wetter | 14% / 31% / 55% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
Sources: Copernicus Climate Change Service (seasonal forecast, ERA5); NOAA Climate Prediction Center (El Niño seasons). Methods