Northern America
Rainfall and temperature odds for December–February, and what past El Niños did in the same season, for all 4 countries and territories.
| Country | Rainfall, December–February | Drier / normal / wetter | Past El Niños | Temperature |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bermuda | Likely wetter | <5% / <5% / >95% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Canada | Leaning wetter | 14% / 41% / 45% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Greenland | Likely drier | 55% / 25% / 20% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| United States | Likely wetter | <5% / 18% / 80% |
12 of 15 wetter | Likely warmer |
Sources: Copernicus Climate Change Service (seasonal forecast, ERA5); NOAA Climate Prediction Center (El Niño seasons). Methods