Micronesia
Rainfall and temperature odds for December–February, and what past El Niños did in the same season, for all 7 countries and territories.
| Country | Rainfall, December–February | Drier / normal / wetter | Past El Niños | Temperature |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federated States of Micronesia | Likely drier | >95% / <5% / <5% |
14 of 15 drier | Likely warmer |
| Guam | Likely drier | >95% / <5% / <5% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Kiribati | Likely wetter | <5% / <5% / >95% |
15 of 15 wetter | Likely warmer |
| Marshall Islands | Likely drier | >95% / <5% / <5% |
11 of 15 drier | Likely warmer |
| Nauru | Likely wetter | <5% / 20% / 80% |
14 of 15 wetter | Likely warmer |
| Northern Mariana Islands | Likely drier | 94% / <5% / <5% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Palau | Likely drier | >95% / <5% / <5% |
15 of 15 drier | Likely warmer |
Sources: Copernicus Climate Change Service (seasonal forecast, ERA5); NOAA Climate Prediction Center (El Niño seasons). Methods