Central Asia
Rainfall and temperature odds for December–February, and what past El Niños did in the same season, for all 5 countries and territories.
| Country | Rainfall, December–February | Drier / normal / wetter | Past El Niños | Temperature |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kazakhstan | Likely wetter | <5% / 14% / 82% |
11 of 15 wetter | Likely warmer |
| Kyrgyzstan | Likely wetter | <5% / 21% / 75% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Tajikistan | Likely wetter | 10% / 12% / 78% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Turkmenistan | Likely wetter | <5% / 8% / 90% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Uzbekistan | Likely wetter | <5% / 12% / 86% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
Sources: Copernicus Climate Change Service (seasonal forecast, ERA5); NOAA Climate Prediction Center (El Niño seasons). Methods